The price of copper appears to be building the foundation for another potentially significant advance, with the technical picture pointing to possibly higher prices, if the metal can overcome an important resistance level.
The setup begins with a notable reversal in copper’s recent price action. At the start of this month, the red metal briefly slipped beneath a trendline that had been drawn from its March low. A break below such a trendline can often signal that an established upward structure is losing momentum.
In this case, however, copper quickly reclaimed the line, moving back above it just three sessions later. That failed breakdown is important because it suggests that sellers were unable to maintain control at lower levels.
Rather than developing into a deeper correction, the move below support was rejected, leaving copper back inside its broader consolidation pattern. Since recovering from a low of around $5.93 a pound in late June, copper has largely traded within a defined range, with prices oscillating within the approximately $6.30-$6.89 range. The upper boundary of that range is now the key level for traders watching for a potential breakout.
A sustained move above its $6.89 high, which marked the recent high recorded based on LSEG data, could open the door to a substantially higher price target. Applying a measured-move approach to the preceding advance and subsequent consolidation points toward the $7.85 region. From the breakout area, that would represent a gain of roughly 14%.
Technical momentum also appears supportive of the bullish setup. The Relative Strength Index has been trending higher without yet reaching levels typically associated with an overbought market. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator is also showing constructive momentum, suggesting that buying pressure could be building beneath the surface.
The technical picture is particularly interesting when viewed alongside copper’s increasingly important role in the global economy.
Copper is essential to electrical wiring, power transmission, renewable energy infrastructure, electric vehicles and industrial equipment. As economies invest in expanding and modernizing electricity networks, demand for the metal could continue to receive structural support.
The rapid expansion of data centers adds another potential source of demand. Artificial intelligence and cloud computing require large amounts of electricity, while the infrastructure needed to deliver that power depends heavily on copper-intensive electrical systems, transformers, cables and grid equipment.
At the same time, the broader push toward electrification is increasing the amount of copper required across transportation, power generation and energy infrastructure. That longer-term demand story does not guarantee higher prices, but it provides an important backdrop to the current chart setup.
For now, $6.89 remains the level to watch, and copper industry stakeholders like Numa Numa Resources Inc. will be watching that turning point as any additional surge in the metal’s price could ramp up investor interest in their exploration and mine development projects.
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